一个美国人平均每年摄入33磅奶酪、70磅糖,8500克盐,是建议摄入量的两倍。这些物质并非来自餐桌上的调料瓶,而是年销量高达一万亿美元的加工食品的“贡献”。在《盐糖脂》中,普利策奖获得者、调查记者迈克尔•莫斯揭开了背后的故事。莫斯在书中聚焦卡夫、可口可乐、方便午餐盒、菲多利、雀巢、奥利奥、可沛利等食品,考证细致精确、令人瞠目,语言犀利有力、振聋发聩。他带读者来到科学家计算含糖饮料“满足点”的实验室,揭露烟草公司内部手册上的营销手段,走访业内人士挖掘惊人内幕。深陷盐糖脂之中不可自拔的绝不仅仅有上百万的“瘾君子们”,还有兜售叫卖的公司和企业。读过这本书后,你眼中的营养标签将不再只是标签而已。《纽约时报》畅销书排行榜冠军,詹姆斯•比尔德基金会文学奖得主他们有盐,糖和脂肪,但我们有选择的权力,这才是最大的力量。毕竟我们自己可以决定自己买什么,也可以决定我们吃多少。曾位列《纽约时报》畅销书排行榜首位!普利策奖获得者迈克尔•莫斯讲述食品公司是如何利用盐、糖、脂肪来诱惑我们的?面对食品安全问题和加工食品的危害,我们该怎么办?在我们进入超市时,请将这本书作为保卫我们健康的武器。

zlib/Self-Help, Relationships & Lifestyle/Diet & Nutrition/迈克尔•莫斯 [微软用户]/盐糖脂_6164799.epub

The signal and the noise : why so many predictions fail-- but some don't

Salt Sugar Fat (chinese Edition)

莫斯 (Moss, Michael)

(美)迈克尔·莫斯著;张佳安译

Silver, Nate

Michael Moss

Nate Silver

Random House, Incorporated

Penguin Publishing Group

Penguin Random House LLC

Citic Press Corporation

CITIC Publishing House

Penguin Group US

Penguin Books

Penguin Press

北京:中信出版社

Penguin Random House LLC, New York, 2012

United States, United States of America

China, People's Republic, China

S.I, 2012

1, 2012

Bookmarks: p1 (p1): 第一章 开发儿童的生物学
p2 (p27): 第二章 如何才能让人渴求？
p3 (p49): 第三章 大写字母“C”的便利
p4 (p75): 第四章 到底是谷物还是糖？
p5 (p105): 第五章 我想经常看到运尸袋
p6 (p135): 第六章 果香风暴
p7 (p157): 第七章 蜜糖般黏稠的口感
p8 (p171): 第八章 液体黄金
p9 (p195): 第九章 午餐时间你说了算
p10 (p225): 第十章 政府传递的信息
p11 (p249): 第十一章 无糖、无脂肪、无买卖
p12 (p279): 第十二章 人们热爱盐
p13 (p297): 第十三章 消费者渴求同样绝妙的咸味
p14 (p315): 第十四章 我对公众深感抱歉
p15 (p341): 后记 我们为廉价食品而着迷
p16 (p359): 致谢

UPDATED FOR 2020 WITH A NEW PREFACE BY NATE SILVER "One of the more momentous books of the decade." —The New York Times Book Review Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair’s breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger—all by the time he was thirty. He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaster with his near perfect prediction of the 2012 election. Silver is the founder and editor in chief of the website FiveThirtyEight. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data. Most predictions fail, often at great cost to society, because most of us have a poor understanding of probability and uncertainty. Both experts and laypeople mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. But overconfidence is often the reason for failure. If our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can get better too. This is the “prediction paradox”: The more humility we have about our ability to make predictions, the more successful we can be in planning for the future. In keeping with his own aim to seek truth from data, Silver visits the most successful forecasters in a range of areas, from hurricanes to baseball to global pandemics, from the poker table to the stock market, from Capitol Hill to the NBA. He explains and evaluates how these forecasters think and what bonds they share. What lies behind their success? Are they good—or just lucky? What patterns have they unraveled? And are their forecasts really right? He explores unanticipated commonalities and exposes unexpected juxtapositions. And sometimes, it is not so much how good a prediction is in an absolute sense that matters but how good it is relative to the competition. In other cases, prediction is still a very rudimentary—and dangerous—science. Silver observes that the most accurate forecasters tend to have a superior command of probability, and they tend to be both humble and hardworking. They distinguish the predictable from the unpredictable, and they notice a thousand little details that lead them closer to the truth. Because of their appreciation of probability, they can distinguish the signal from the noise. With everything from the health of the global economy to our ability to fight terrorism dependent on the quality of our predictions, Nate Silver’s insights are an essential read.

"Nate Silver's The Signal and the Noise is The Soul of a New Machine for the 21st century." ?Rachel Maddow, author of Drift Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger?all by the time he was thirty. He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaster with his near perfect prediction of the 2012 election. Silver is the founder and editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight.com. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data. Most predictions fail, often at great cost to society, because most of us have a poor understanding of probability and uncertainty. Both experts and laypeople mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. But overconfidence is often the reason for failure. If our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can get better too. This is the "prediction paradox": The more humility we have about our ability to make predictions, the more successful we can be in planning for the future. In keeping with his own aim to seek truth from data, Silver visits the most successful forecasters in a range of areas, from hurricanes to baseball, from the poker table to the stock market, from Capitol Hill to the NBA. He explains and evaluates how these forecasters think and what bonds they share. What lies behind their success? Are they good?or just lucky? What patterns have they unraveled? And are their forecasts really right? He explores unanticipated commonalities and exposes unexpected juxtapositions. And sometimes, it is not so much how good a prediction is in an absolute sense that matters but how good it is relative to the competition. In other cases, prediction is still a very rudimentary?and dangerous?science. Silver observes that the most accurate forecasters tend to have a superior command of probability, and they tend to be both humble and hardworking. They distinguish the predictable from the unpredictable, and they notice a thousand little details that lead them closer to the truth. Because of their appreciation of probability, they can distinguish the signal from the noise. With everything from the health of the global economy to our ability to fight terrorism dependent on the quality of our predictions, Nate Silver's insights are an essential read

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • The groundbreaking exploration of probability and uncertainty that explains how to make better predictions in a world drowning in data, from the nation's foremost political forecaster—updated with insights into the pandemic, journalism today, and polling One of The Wall Street Journal's Ten Best Works of Nonfiction of the Year “Could turn out to be one of the more momentous books of the decade.”—The New York Times Book ReviewMost predictions fail, often at great cost to society, because experts and laypeople mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. But overconfidence is often the reason for failure. If our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can get better too. This is the “prediction paradox”: The more humility we have about our ability to make predictions, the more successful we can be in planning for the future.Drawing on his own groundbreaking work in sports and politics, Nate Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how to seek truth from data. In The Signal and the Noise, Silver visits innovative forecasters in a range of areas, from hurricanes to baseball to global pandemics, from the poker table to the stock market, from Capitol Hill to the NBA. He discovers that what the most accurate ones have in common is a superior command of probability—as well as a healthy dose of humility.With everything from the global economy to the fight against disease hanging on the quality of our predictions, Nate Silver's insights are an essential read.

本书作者迈克尔·莫斯在书中讨论了食品加工业日渐壮大与肥胖症日益流行之间的关系, 并揭示了食品公司是如何利用盐, 糖, 脂肪来诱惑我们的, 当然, 更重要的是, 他告诉了我们应该如何反击

2020-11-15